PDMargin

Margins

Clinton's Required Pledged Delegate Margins
Current:
16.07%
HRC needs to beat Obama by:
59
PDs on 3/4
Projected Post-3/4:
23.37%
Her current 3/4 PD lead:
14
PDs
Total Pledged Delegates:
3,253
Current Pledged Delegate Standings
Obama PDs:
1,196
Clinton PDs:
1,038
Remaining PDs:
992
Obama PD lead:
158
To take a PD lead Clinton needs to win:
58.04%
of the remaining PDs, post WI and HI.
Edge needed by Clinton:
16.07%
after WI/HI.
March 4th Calculations
Curr. Poll Avgs:3/3AM
Proportional Del. Est.
Obama
Clinton
Links
Obama
Clinton
Ohio
141
43.0%
50.1%
65
76
Rhode Island
21
38.3%
48.0%
9
12
Texas
193
45.7%
47.4%
95
98
Vermont
15
55.0%
36.0%
9
6
March 4th Total:
370
178
192
Estimates:
Obama PDs:
1,374
Clinton PDs:
1,230
Remaining PDs:
622
Obama PD lead:
144
To take a PD lead Clinton needs to win:
61.69%
of the remaining PDs, after March 4th.
Edge needed by Clinton:
23.37%
after 3/4.
Updated on:
3/4AM
Based on:
by

Predict

Scratch

2/19 Primary

State
Clinton Del
Obama Del
Unallocated
Type
Closing (ET)
Total Del
Clinton Votes
Obama Votes
Total Votes
State
Hawaii
6
14
0
Caucus (closed)
12:30 AM
20
8,835
28,347
37,182
Hawaii
Wisconsin
32
42
0
Primary (open)
9:00 PM
74
452,590
645,554
1,098,144
Wisconsin
38
56
0
94
Clinton - 38
Obama - 56
Unallocated - 0
40.4%
59.6%
0.0%

2/12 Primary

State
Clinton Del
Obama Del
Unallocated
Type
Closing (ET)
Total Del
Clinton Votes
Obama Votes
Total Votes
State
District of Columbia
3
12
0
Primary (closed)
8:00 PM
15
27,326
85,534
112,860
District of Columbia
Maryland
27
43
0
Primary (closed)
9:30 PM
70
273,828
439,979
713,807
Maryland
Virginia
29
54
0
Primary (open)
7:00 PM
83
344,477
620,919
965,396
Virginia
59
109
0
168
645,631
1,146,432
1,792,063
35.1%
64.9%
0.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Clinton - 59
Obama - 109
Unallocated - 0
Clinton - 645631
Obama - 1146432

Primary 2/9

State
Clinton Del
Obama Del
Unallocated
Type
Closing (ET)
Total Del
Clinton Votes
Obama Votes
Total Votes
State
Louisiana
22
34
0
Primary (closed)
9:00 PM
56
136,959
220,588
357,547
Louisiana
Nebraska
8
16
0
Caucus (semi-open)
8:30 PM
24
12,396
25,986
38,382
Nebraska
Virgin Islands
0
3
0
Convention (closed)
6:00 PM
3
149
1,772
1,921
Virgin Islands
Washington
26
52
0
Caucus (semi-open)
4:00 PM
78
Washington
Maine
9
15
0
Caucus (closed)
7:00 PM
24
Maine
65
120
0
185
149,504
248,346
397,850
35.1%
64.9%
0.0%
37.6%
62.4%
Clinton - 65
Obama - 120
Unallocated - 0